Denmark Fourth Division Round 9

Karlslunde vs Holbæk analysis

Karlslunde Holbæk
46 ELO 44
3.3% Tilt 9.5%
35659º General ELO ranking 3686º
405º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
48.3%
Karlslunde
23.4%
Draw
28.3%
Holbæk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
Karlslunde
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.3%
Win probability
Holbæk
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Karlslunde
-29%
+68%
Holbæk

Points and table prediction

Karlslunde
Their league position
Holbæk
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
10º
36
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Brønshøj
38
38
100%
Holbæk
36
36
100%
Karlslunde
36
36
100%
Tårnby FF
29
29
100%
Greve IF
27
27
100%
KFUM Roskilde
24
24
100%
Gorslev
18
18
100%
GVI
14
14
100%
B 1908
13
13
100%
Herstedøster
10º
9
9
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Karlslunde
Holbæk
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Karlslunde
Holbæk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Karlslunde
Karlslunde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2022
KFU
KFUM Roskilde
1 - 2
Karlslunde
KAR
24%
23%
53%
45 36 9 0
10 Sep. 2022
B19
B 1908
0 - 1
Karlslunde
KAR
19%
22%
59%
45 33 12 0
06 Sep. 2022
BAL
Ballerup-Skovlunde
1 - 0
Karlslunde
KAR
14%
20%
66%
46 33 13 -1
02 Sep. 2022
KAR
Karlslunde
6 - 0
GVI
GVI
72%
18%
10%
45 35 10 +1
26 Aug. 2022
TAR
Tårnby FF
1 - 2
Karlslunde
KAR
27%
24%
50%
44 39 5 +1

Matches

Holbæk
Holbæk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2022
HOL
Holbæk
5 - 2
B 1908
B19
74%
16%
10%
43 32 11 0
10 Sep. 2022
GVI
GVI
2 - 2
Holbæk
HOL
21%
20%
59%
44 34 10 -1
02 Sep. 2022
HOL
Holbæk
1 - 0
Tårnby FF
TAR
63%
21%
16%
43 37 6 +1
28 Aug. 2022
HER
Herstedøster
1 - 4
Holbæk
HOL
17%
18%
66%
42 30 12 +1
20 Aug. 2022
HOL
Holbæk
4 - 1
Gorslev
GSL
63%
18%
19%
41 36 5 +1