Karlskrona vs Simrishamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
4º
26
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlskrona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FBK
0 - 2
KAR
31%
22%
47%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 1
RAP
70%
17%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
NOS
1 - 1
KAR
15%
19%
65%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 1
KAR
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
KAR
7 - 2
IFL
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 3
HAS
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 3
VAR
5%
13%
82%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OST
1 - 1
SIM
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 3
HOG
70%
16%
14%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 2
KRI
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |