Karlovy Vary vs Spoje Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
4º
10º
7º
0
12º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
3 | 32 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 30 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 30 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 27 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 26 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 26 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 25 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 23 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 21 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 21 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 17 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 16 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 11 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 9 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 7 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 44.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 55.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlovy Vary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2025 |
KAR
1 - 1
VIZ
7%
13%
80%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
KAR
2 - 2
TEP
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
OLY
3 - 5
KAR
31%
22%
46%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
STE
0 - 2
KAR
30%
23%
48%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
KAR
2 - 0
SKS
28%
24%
47%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Spoje Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
FKO
2 - 0
SPO
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 3
FKC
14%
16%
70%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
HOS
2 - 3
SPO
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 3
SOK
6%
11%
83%
|
23 | 62 | 39 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
TEP
11 - 2
SPO
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |