Karlberg vs Gefle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
15º
7º
15
8º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
32 | 59 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
1º
|
34 | 58 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 54 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 46 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 41 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 36 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 35 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 33 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 33 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 38.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
HAN
0 - 2
KAL
62%
21%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
KAL
2 - 3
KAR
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
IFS
0 - 2
KAL
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
KAL
1 - 1
ENK
70%
17%
13%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ASS
1 - 2
KAL
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
GEF
2 - 2
AFC
51%
24%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 2
IFS
60%
20%
20%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SOL
0 - 1
GEF
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 2
VAS
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ASS
3 - 0
GEF
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |