B PFG Round 1

Kariana Erden vs Arda Kardzhali analysis

Kariana Erden Arda Kardzhali
53 ELO 52
17.6% Tilt 2.2%
32258º General ELO ranking 1044º
194º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
58.3%
Kariana Erden
21%
Draw
20.7%
Arda Kardzhali

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
Kariana Erden
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.7%
Win probability
Arda Kardzhali
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Kariana Erden
Arda Kardzhali
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kariana Erden
Kariana Erden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jun. 2018
KAR
Kariana Erden
4 - 0
OFK Levski
OFK
84%
11%
5%
55 38 17 0
27 May. 2018
ASV
Akademik Svishtov
2 - 3
Kariana Erden
KAR
12%
21%
67%
52 31 21 +3
20 May. 2018
KAR
Kariana Erden
8 - 0
Yantra Polski
YPT
86%
10%
4%
52 29 23 0
16 May. 2018
PAR
Partizan
0 - 4
Kariana Erden
KAR
9%
20%
71%
52 27 25 0
10 May. 2018
KAR
Kariana Erden
2 - 0
Mizia 2005
MIZ
89%
8%
3%
52 21 31 0

Matches

Arda Kardzhali
Arda Kardzhali
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jun. 2018
BVR
Botev Vratsa
1 - 1
Arda Kardzhali
ARK
71%
18%
11%
52 64 12 0
29 May. 2018
ASE
Asenovets
0 - 0
Arda Kardzhali
ARK
10%
18%
72%
52 34 18 0
26 May. 2018
ARK
Arda Kardzhali
9 - 0
Borislav 2009
BOR
84%
11%
5%
52 35 17 0
18 May. 2018
YAM
Yambol 1915
0 - 2
Arda Kardzhali
ARK
9%
18%
73%
52 28 24 0
12 May. 2018
ARK
Arda Kardzhali
3 - 0
Rakovski 2011
RAK
87%
9%
4%
52 26 26 0