Karelia vs Sever Murmansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
DIK
2 - 2
KAR
49%
23%
27%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
DVO
1 - 2
KAR
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
KAR
2 - 2
ZNA
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 3
SAT
26%
25%
49%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
DNE
3 - 1
KAR
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
DVO
3 - 2
SEV
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
DIK
2 - 0
SEV
32%
24%
43%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
SEV
3 - 4
SAT
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
SEV
2 - 0
ZNA
84%
11%
4%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
LOK
3 - 1
SEV
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |