NB III Promotion Play-offs Final
Global 4-4
Karcag SE vs Nagykanizsa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karcag SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
NAG
2 - 2
KAR
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
KAR
4 - 1
FCH
81%
14%
6%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SAL
0 - 2
KAR
12%
21%
68%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CIG
0 - 1
KAR
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
KAR
2 - 1
FUZ
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Nagykanizsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
NAG
2 - 2
KAR
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 1
NAG
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
NAG
3 - 1
PAK
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
FER
3 - 1
NAG
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
NAG
7 - 0
FOG
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 15 | 39 | 0 |