Kaluga vs Tambov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
77.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.9%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
KAL
1 - 1
ZOR
20%
25%
55%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 0
KAL
33%
23%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
DNE
1 - 2
KAL
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
KAL
1 - 2
DIN
25%
26%
49%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
KAL
2 - 1
VEL
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Tambov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
TAM
2 - 2
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SKA
1 - 2
TAM
39%
28%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 2
FCK
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 3
TAM
27%
29%
44%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
TAM
0 - 0
OLY
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |