2. Liga Round 22

Kaiserslautern vs Greuther Fürth analysis

Kaiserslautern Greuther Fürth
76 ELO 73
-4.8% Tilt 11.7%
298º General ELO ranking 577º
26º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
41.4%
Kaiserslautern
26.5%
Draw
32.1%
Greuther Fürth

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
Kaiserslautern
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.1%
Win probability
Greuther Fürth
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Kaiserslautern
Their league position
Greuther Fürth
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
41
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Darmstadt 98
67
67
100%
Hamburger SV
66
66
100%
Heidenheim
65
65
100%
FC St Pauli
58
58
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
58
58
100%
Paderborn
55
55
100%
Karlsruher SC
46
46
0%
Holstein Kiel
46
46
0%
Kaiserslautern
45
45
100%
Hannover 96
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Magdeburg
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Greuther Fürth
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Hansa Rostock
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Nürnberg
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Eintracht Braunschweig
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Arminia Bielefeld
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Jahn Regensburg
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Sandhausen
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kaiserslautern
Greuther Fürth
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Kaiserslautern
Greuther Fürth
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kaiserslautern
Kaiserslautern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2023
PAD
Paderborn
1 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
48%
24%
28%
75 77 2 0
12 Feb. 2023
STP
FC St Pauli
1 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
39%
26%
36%
76 76 0 -1
04 Feb. 2023
KAI
Kaiserslautern
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
34%
25%
41%
75 76 1 +1
28 Jan. 2023
HAN
Hannover 96
1 - 3
Kaiserslautern
KAI
37%
27%
36%
75 74 1 0
15 Jan. 2023
KAI
Kaiserslautern
4 - 0
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
78%
16%
7%
75 53 22 0

Matches

Greuther Fürth
Greuther Fürth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2023
SGF
Greuther Fürth
2 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
33%
27%
41%
73 76 3 0
10 Feb. 2023
KSC
Karlsruher SC
2 - 1
Greuther Fürth
SGF
39%
26%
35%
73 71 2 0
04 Feb. 2023
SGF
Greuther Fürth
1 - 0
Nürnberg
FCN
44%
27%
29%
72 71 1 +1
28 Jan. 2023
HOL
Holstein Kiel
2 - 1
Greuther Fürth
SGF
47%
25%
28%
72 76 4 0
21 Jan. 2023
SGF
Greuther Fürth
3 - 1
Blau-Weiß Linz
FCB
39%
23%
38%
73 71 2 -1