2. Bundesliga round 33

Kaiserslautern vs Darmstadt 98 analysis

Kaiserslautern Darmstadt 98
85 ELO 85
4% Tilt 15.8%
301º General ELO ranking 298º
28º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
41%
Kaiserslautern
24.2%
Draw
34.8%
Darmstadt 98

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
Kaiserslautern
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.8%
Win probability
Darmstadt 98
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kaiserslautern
-1%
-8%
Darmstadt 98

Points and table prediction

Kaiserslautern
Their league position
Darmstadt 98
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
12º
42
10º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Köln
61
61
100%
Hamburger SV
59
59
100%
SV Elversberg
58
58
100%
Paderborn
55
55
100%
Magdeburg
53
53
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
53
53
100%
Kaiserslautern
53
53
100%
Karlsruher SC
52
52
100%
Hannover 96
51
51
100%
Nürnberg
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Hertha BSC
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Darmstadt 98
12º
42
42
12º
100%
Greuther Fürth
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Schalke 04
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Preußen Münster
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Eintracht Braunschweig
16º
35
35
16º
100%
SSV Ulm
17º
30
30
17º
100%
Jahn Regensburg
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kaiserslautern
Darmstadt 98
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Kaiserslautern
Darmstadt 98
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kaiserslautern
Kaiserslautern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2025
KSC
Karlsruher SC
2 - 2
Kaiserslautern
KAI
46%
24%
30%
84 86 2 0
27 Apr. 2025
KAI
Kaiserslautern
2 - 1
Schalke 04
S04
45%
24%
31%
84 83 1 0
19 Apr. 2025
EBT
Eintracht Braunschweig
2 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
27%
24%
48%
84 79 5 0
12 Apr. 2025
KAI
Kaiserslautern
1 - 2
Nürnberg
FCN
50%
23%
27%
84 81 3 0
06 Apr. 2025
MAG
Magdeburg
2 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
38%
24%
38%
85 84 1 -1

Matches

Darmstadt 98
Darmstadt 98
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2025
DAR
Darmstadt 98
0 - 4
Hamburger SV
HSV
24%
23%
54%
85 89 4 0
26 Apr. 2025
PRE
Preußen Münster
1 - 1
Darmstadt 98
DAR
27%
24%
49%
85 79 6 0
20 Apr. 2025
DAR
Darmstadt 98
3 - 1
Hannover 96
HAN
39%
26%
35%
84 85 1 +1
12 Apr. 2025
HER
Hertha BSC
1 - 1
Darmstadt 98
DAR
41%
24%
34%
84 85 1 0
05 Apr. 2025
DAR
Darmstadt 98
1 - 0
Greuther Fürth
SGF
44%
25%
31%
84 81 3 0