Bundesliga Round 18

Kaiserslautern vs Köln analysis

Kaiserslautern Köln
80 ELO 76
1.4% Tilt 7.8%
280º General ELO ranking 86º
28º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
54.5%
Kaiserslautern
24.4%
Draw
21.1%
Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
Kaiserslautern
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.1%
Win probability
Köln
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kaiserslautern
-4%
-3%
Köln

ELO progression

Kaiserslautern
Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kaiserslautern
Kaiserslautern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2011
KAI
Kaiserslautern
4 - 1
Twente
TWE
31%
27%
43%
80 88 8 0
18 Dec. 2010
BRE
Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Kaiserslautern
KAI
74%
16%
10%
79 87 8 +1
11 Dec. 2010
KAI
Kaiserslautern
0 - 0
Wolfsburg
WOL
31%
25%
44%
79 85 6 0
03 Dec. 2010
STP
FC St Pauli
1 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
37%
26%
38%
80 74 6 -1
27 Nov. 2010
KAI
Kaiserslautern
5 - 0
Schalke 04
S04
26%
27%
48%
79 88 9 +1

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2010
KOL
Köln
1 - 2
MSV Duisburg
MSV
53%
24%
23%
76 75 1 0
18 Dec. 2010
S04
Schalke 04
3 - 0
Köln
KOL
66%
21%
13%
77 88 11 -1
11 Dec. 2010
KOL
Köln
1 - 0
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
34%
26%
39%
76 82 6 +1
05 Dec. 2010
LEV
B. Leverkusen
3 - 2
Köln
KOL
74%
17%
10%
77 88 11 -1
28 Nov. 2010
KOL
Köln
1 - 1
Wolfsburg
WOL
28%
25%
48%
76 85 9 +1