Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 1-4
Kairat Almaty vs Sigma Olomouc analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kairat Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
KYZ
1 - 3
KAI
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
SIG
2 - 0
KAI
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
SHA
1 - 1
KAI
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 1
KAI
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
KAI
1 - 0
TOB
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sigma Olomouc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SLO
3 - 1
SIG
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
SIG
2 - 0
KAI
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SIG
0 - 1
VKP
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
MBO
0 - 4
SIG
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
SIG
0 - 3
SLP
32%
25%
44%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |