Macau League Round 4

Kei Lun vs Policia SP analysis

Kei Lun Policia SP
20 ELO 33
2.1% Tilt -1.2%
35830º General ELO ranking 28718º
20º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
24.8%
Kei Lun
23.4%
Draw
51.8%
Policia SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
Kei Lun
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
51.8%
Win probability
Policia SP
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Kei Lun
Policia SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kei Lun
Kei Lun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2013
KTM
Kuan Tai
3 - 1
Kei Lun
KLM
77%
14%
9%
20 31 11 0
19 Jan. 2013
KLM
Kei Lun
1 - 4
Lam Ieng
LLM
24%
23%
53%
21 31 10 -1
13 Jan. 2013
MCA
Monte Carlo
1 - 0
Kei Lun
KLM
83%
11%
6%
20 32 12 +1

Matches

Policia SP
Policia SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2013
PSP
Policia SP
0 - 0
Lam Ieng
LLM
43%
24%
33%
32 32 0 0
19 Jan. 2013
BEN
CSL Benfica
1 - 0
Policia SP
PSP
54%
22%
24%
32 32 0 0
12 Jan. 2013
PSP
Policia SP
3 - 0
Must IPO
CPK
43%
24%
33%
32 32 0 0
10 Jun. 2012
WAK
Windsor Arch Ka I
3 - 1
Policia SP
PSP
61%
20%
20%
32 32 0 0
02 Jun. 2012
LLM
Lam Ieng
2 - 2
Policia SP
PSP
54%
22%
25%
32 32 0 0