Kei Lun vs CSL Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
GLP
4 - 1
KLM
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
KLM
0 - 4
CPK
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
WAK
6 - 0
KLM
75%
14%
10%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
KLM
3 - 1
MAC
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
PSP
2 - 2
KLM
68%
19%
14%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 0
CPK
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
BEN
8 - 0
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
KTM
0 - 1
BEN
50%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 0
MCA
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
GLP
1 - 2
BEN
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |