Kei Lun vs Casa de Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
KLM
5 - 5
LAI
55%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
KLM
3 - 1
CLU
62%
18%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
KLM
1 - 3
SMA
53%
20%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MCA
5 - 0
KLM
57%
19%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KLM
0 - 3
PSP
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Casa de Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
PSP
2 - 2
CPO
43%
22%
36%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MCA
10 - 1
CPO
58%
19%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CPO
0 - 6
BEN
54%
19%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CPK
4 - 1
CPO
53%
20%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CPO
0 - 4
WAK
53%
19%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |