Kagran vs Dinamo Helfort 15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
64%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9º
15º
15º
75
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
6 - 0
KAG
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
KAG
3 - 0
GER
30%
21%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AUS
4 - 2
KAG
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KAG
4 - 2
SCH
17%
18%
65%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SIM
2 - 1
KAG
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Helfort 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SVH
3 - 0
SKS
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
DON
0 - 2
SVH
51%
22%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SVH
3 - 0
RED
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
STA
0 - 0
SVH
44%
23%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SVH
1 - 0
WIE
68%
17%
16%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |