Kagera Sugar vs Toto Africans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
23.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
KAG
2 - 0
TAN
32%
32%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AFR
0 - 2
KAG
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MTI
2 - 0
KAG
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NDA
0 - 0
KAG
43%
30%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
KAG
1 - 0
MWA
35%
31%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Toto Africans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
TOT
0 - 1
NDA
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RUV
0 - 0
TOT
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
AFR
0 - 0
TOT
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
TAN
1 - 0
TOT
53%
27%
20%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 0
TOT
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |