Kagera Sugar vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
47.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
KAG
1 - 0
MMA
57%
26%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
TOT
1 - 1
KAG
35%
30%
36%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
TAN
0 - 0
KAG
40%
31%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
KAG
2 - 1
MTI
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
KAG
2 - 1
AFR
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SIM
2 - 2
MBE
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SIM
2 - 1
YOU
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SIM
3 - 0
TAN
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MMA
0 - 3
SIM
30%
31%
39%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
SIM
0 - 1
AZA
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |