Kagera Sugar vs Geita Gold analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
KMC
0 - 1
KAG
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
KAG
1 - 0
MTI
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
KAG
0 - 0
MBE
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NAM
1 - 1
KAG
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
KAG
0 - 1
YOU
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Geita Gold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
AZA
1 - 0
GGF
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GGF
1 - 1
MBE
36%
30%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
GGF
1 - 1
MTI
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
YOU
1 - 0
GGF
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
NAM
2 - 0
GGF
39%
27%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |