KaaPo vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KaaPo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2009 |
PP7
1 - 3
KAK
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
KAK
5 - 0
NAR
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
FCJ
0 - 2
KAK
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
PAL
2 - 0
KAK
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
KAK
1 - 1
PII
73%
16%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2009 |
ILV
4 - 2
FCJ
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 0
ILV
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
ILV
3 - 3
EKE
77%
15%
7%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ILV
2 - 1
FCS
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
FCE
2 - 1
ILV
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |