Belgian Pro League Title Play-off Round 9

KAA Gent vs Genk analysis

KAA Gent Genk
79 ELO 81
12.2% Tilt 14.2%
151º General ELO ranking 137º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
48.6%
KAA Gent
23.3%
Draw
28.1%
Genk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
KAA Gent
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.1%
Win probability
Genk
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
KAA Gent
-17%
+2%
Genk

ELO progression

KAA Gent
Genk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

KAA Gent
KAA Gent
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2011
AND
Anderlecht
4 - 1
KAA Gent
GEN
64%
20%
16%
80 87 7 0
07 May. 2011
GEN
KAA Gent
2 - 2
Lokeren
LOK
74%
16%
9%
80 68 12 0
29 Apr. 2011
SDL
Standard de Liège
1 - 0
KAA Gent
GEN
52%
23%
25%
80 82 2 0
23 Apr. 2011
GNK
Genk
3 - 0
KAA Gent
GEN
48%
23%
29%
81 80 1 -1
20 Apr. 2011
GEN
KAA Gent
1 - 1
Anderlecht
AND
38%
26%
36%
81 87 6 0

Matches

Genk
Genk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2011
BRU
Club Brugge
3 - 0
Genk
GNK
48%
24%
29%
81 80 1 0
06 May. 2011
GNK
Genk
1 - 0
Anderlecht
AND
37%
26%
36%
81 87 6 0
01 May. 2011
LOK
Lokeren
0 - 2
Genk
GNK
25%
25%
51%
80 68 12 +1
23 Apr. 2011
GNK
Genk
3 - 0
KAA Gent
GEN
48%
23%
29%
80 81 1 0
20 Apr. 2011
GNK
Genk
3 - 1
Club Brugge
BRU
49%
24%
27%
80 80 0 0