KAA Gent vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
STR
0 - 2
GEN
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
KSK
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
GEN
0 - 0
AND
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
LOK
2 - 1
GEN
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
MON
1 - 0
GEN
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 1
RAA
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
KSK
2 - 2
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 1
LOK
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
STR
3 - 2
EXC
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 2
GNK
38%
24%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |