Belgian First Amateur Division Round 5

Gent II vs Sporting Lokeren analysis

Gent II Sporting Lokeren
51 ELO 57
-3.5% Tilt -6%
1929º General ELO ranking 1433º
38º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
33%
Gent II
25.6%
Draw
41.4%
Sporting Lokeren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
Gent II
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.4%
Win probability
Sporting Lokeren
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gent II
+33%
+16%
Sporting Lokeren

Points and table prediction

Gent II
Their league position
Sporting Lokeren
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
70
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
RAAL La Louviere
83
83
100%
Sporting Lokeren
70
70
100%
Knokke
54
54
100%
Charleroi II
53
53
100%
Heist
51
51
100%
Thes Sport
51
51
100%
Olympic Charleroi
50
50
100%
Gent II
49
49
100%
Hoogstraten
49
49
100%
KVC Winkel Sport
11º
46
46
10º
100%
Excelsior Virton
10º
46
46
11º
100%
Tienen
13º
44
44
12º
100%
Dessel Sport
12º
44
44
13º
100%
Antwerp II
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Union Namur
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Leuven II
16º
30
30
16º
100%
Visé
17º
28
29
17º
100%
Cappellen
18º
27
27
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gent II
Sporting Lokeren
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gent II
Sporting Lokeren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gent II
Gent II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2023
OHL
Leuven II
1 - 1
Gent II
KAA
36%
25%
40%
51 44 7 0
03 Sep. 2023
CAP
Cappellen
0 - 1
Gent II
KAA
49%
26%
26%
50 54 4 +1
30 Aug. 2023
KAA
Gent II
1 - 0
Thes Sport
KVT
51%
23%
25%
49 48 1 +1
05 Aug. 2023
PAT
Patro Eisden
2 - 1
Gent II
KAA
53%
23%
25%
49 57 8 0
19 May. 2023
KAA
Gent II
4 - 2
Olympic Charleroi
OLY
52%
23%
25%
48 45 3 +1

Matches

Sporting Lokeren
Sporting Lokeren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
KSC
Sporting Lokeren
4 - 0
Charleroi II
RCS
62%
23%
16%
57 45 12 0
13 Sep. 2023
SIN
KVC Winkel Sport
0 - 1
Sporting Lokeren
KSC
19%
22%
59%
57 40 17 0
09 Sep. 2023
KSC
Sporting Lokeren
3 - 3
Beerschot VA
BEE
12%
16%
72%
56 68 12 +1
02 Sep. 2023
KSC
Sporting Lokeren
0 - 0
RAAL La Louviere
LOU
35%
25%
40%
56 58 2 0
30 Aug. 2023
OLY
Olympic Charleroi
1 - 2
Sporting Lokeren
KSC
26%
25%
49%
56 46 10 0