Esiliiga B round 35

Alliance FC vs Vändra JK Vaprus analysis

Alliance FC Vändra JK Vaprus
53 ELO 38
-8.2% Tilt 7.5%
26858º General ELO ranking 20346º
87º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
72%
Alliance FC
17.8%
Draw
10.2%
Vändra JK Vaprus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
Alliance FC
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.2%
Win probability
Vändra JK Vaprus
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Alliance FC
Vändra JK Vaprus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alliance FC
Alliance FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2018
JKJ
Alliance FC
4 - 1
Võru
VOR
57%
23%
20%
52 46 6 0
20 Oct. 2018
TAM
Tammeka II
4 - 0
Alliance FC
JKJ
48%
24%
28%
54 53 1 -2
07 Oct. 2018
FCP
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
2 - 4
Alliance FC
JKJ
49%
24%
27%
52 52 0 +2
29 Sep. 2018
JKJ
Alliance FC
2 - 0
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
79%
15%
7%
52 26 26 0
22 Sep. 2018
JKJ
Alliance FC
2 - 0
TJK Legion
TJK
17%
21%
62%
50 61 11 +2

Matches

Vändra JK Vaprus
Vändra JK Vaprus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2018
VAN
Vändra JK Vaprus
0 - 4
Paide II
PAI
72%
15%
13%
40 34 6 0
20 Oct. 2018
AJA
Ajax Lasnamäe
0 - 0
Vändra JK Vaprus
VAN
24%
21%
55%
40 27 13 0
07 Oct. 2018
TAM
Tammeka II
2 - 1
Vändra JK Vaprus
VAN
79%
14%
8%
41 53 12 -1
29 Sep. 2018
VAN
Vändra JK Vaprus
1 - 4
Nõmme United
NOM
16%
17%
68%
41 52 11 0
23 Sep. 2018
VAN
Vändra JK Vaprus
1 - 2
Võru
VOR
51%
22%
28%
41 44 3 0