Esiliiga B round 18

Alliance FC vs Vändra JK Vaprus analysis

Alliance FC Vändra JK Vaprus
47 ELO 49
-4.7% Tilt -3.3%
26875º General ELO ranking 20363º
102º Country ELO ranking 91º
ELO win probability
36.5%
Alliance FC
24.9%
Draw
38.6%
Vändra JK Vaprus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
Alliance FC
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.6%
Win probability
Vändra JK Vaprus
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Alliance FC
Vändra JK Vaprus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alliance FC
Alliance FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jul. 2017
TKA
Tallinna Kalev II
1 - 0
Alliance FC
JKJ
31%
25%
44%
48 40 8 0
21 Jun. 2017
RAT
Rakvere JK Tarvas II
0 - 7
Alliance FC
JKJ
8%
15%
77%
48 9 39 0
18 Jun. 2017
VJK
Viimsi JK
3 - 0
Alliance FC
JKJ
24%
25%
52%
50 37 13 -2
04 Jun. 2017
JKJ
Alliance FC
1 - 1
Tammeka II
TAM
50%
23%
27%
50 46 4 0
28 May. 2017
SKA
Sillamäe Kalev II
0 - 3
Alliance FC
JKJ
24%
24%
52%
49 36 13 +1

Matches

Vändra JK Vaprus
Vändra JK Vaprus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 2017
VAN
Vändra JK Vaprus
4 - 2
Joker
JOK
49%
22%
29%
48 46 2 0
18 Jun. 2017
VAN
Vändra JK Vaprus
1 - 1
Nõmme Kalju II
NOM
44%
24%
33%
48 49 1 0
03 Jun. 2017
KEI
Keila
1 - 3
Vändra JK Vaprus
VAN
55%
22%
24%
47 49 2 +1
27 May. 2017
VAN
Vändra JK Vaprus
5 - 3
Tallinna Kalev II
TKA
52%
23%
25%
46 44 2 +1
24 May. 2017
VAN
Vändra JK Vaprus
2 - 1
Viimsi JK
VJK
62%
21%
17%
45 40 5 +1