Esiliiga Round 14

Alliance FC vs Rakvere JK Tarvas analysis

Alliance FC Rakvere JK Tarvas
55 ELO 47
-3.5% Tilt 5.6%
28951º General ELO ranking 22901º
131º Country ELO ranking 119º
ELO win probability
56.4%
Alliance FC
23.1%
Draw
20.5%
Rakvere JK Tarvas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
Alliance FC
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.5%
Win probability
Rakvere JK Tarvas
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Alliance FC
Rakvere JK Tarvas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alliance FC
Alliance FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 May. 2019
JKJ
Alliance FC
1 - 1
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
49%
24%
27%
54 50 4 0
23 May. 2019
FCE
FC Elva
1 - 0
Alliance FC
JKJ
38%
26%
36%
55 52 3 -1
18 May. 2019
WEL
Tartu Welco
0 - 2
Alliance FC
JKJ
13%
19%
68%
55 40 15 0
12 May. 2019
JKJ
Alliance FC
0 - 2
Tammeka II
TAM
53%
23%
24%
56 50 6 -1
02 May. 2019
JKJ
Alliance FC
2 - 3
TJK Legion
TJK
22%
23%
55%
56 64 8 0

Matches

Rakvere JK Tarvas
Rakvere JK Tarvas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 May. 2019
RAK
Rakvere JK Tarvas
2 - 0
FC Elva
FCE
29%
24%
48%
47 53 6 0
25 May. 2019
TKA
Tallinna Kalev II
1 - 6
Rakvere JK Tarvas
RAK
54%
23%
23%
45 48 3 +2
19 May. 2019
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
5 - 0
Rakvere JK Tarvas
RAK
62%
19%
19%
46 47 1 -1
11 May. 2019
RAK
Rakvere JK Tarvas
0 - 2
FC Flora Tallin II
FLO
19%
24%
58%
47 64 17 -1
04 May. 2019
WEL
Tartu Welco
1 - 1
Rakvere JK Tarvas
RAK
29%
24%
48%
47 40 7 0