Alliance FC vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
VOR
1 - 2
JKJ
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
JKJ
3 - 1
FLO
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
JKJ
1 - 0
NOM
16%
18%
65%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
JKJ
0 - 2
TAM
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
TJK
3 - 0
JKJ
75%
15%
10%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
PAI
0 - 2
NOM
7%
12%
82%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
PAI
2 - 6
TAM
11%
17%
73%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -3 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
VOR
5 - 0
PAI
67%
17%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
FCP
5 - 4
PAI
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
PAI
0 - 1
TJK
8%
15%
77%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | -1 |