Alliance FC vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
JKJ
3 - 0
KEI
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
JOK
1 - 2
JKJ
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
NOM
0 - 0
JKJ
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
JKJ
3 - 1
NOM
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
JKJ
1 - 0
JOK
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
PAI
3 - 1
JOK
43%
23%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
NOM
1 - 1
PAI
54%
21%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VAN
3 - 0
PAI
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
PAI
3 - 1
VAN
65%
19%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
PAI
1 - 1
NOM
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |