Alliance FC vs Nõmme United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
80.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
10º
10º
90
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 0
TJK
18%
18%
64%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FCT
5 - 0
JKJ
88%
9%
3%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
JKJ
2 - 6
LEV
8%
15%
77%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
TAB
5 - 2
JKJ
92%
6%
2%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
VJK
3 - 1
JKJ
86%
11%
3%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NOM
2 - 0
FLO
59%
21%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NOM
3 - 0
TAB
64%
19%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 2
NOM
20%
20%
60%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
NOM
4 - 2
PAI
75%
15%
10%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TJK
0 - 6
NOM
16%
18%
66%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |