Segunda Estonia Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 4-1
Alliance FC vs Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
JKJ
3 - 2
FCT
48%
22%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
JKJ
3 - 1
TAB
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
JKJ
2 - 1
TKA
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
HJP
1 - 3
JKJ
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
VJK
0 - 1
JKJ
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FCP
4 - 0
LEV
38%
23%
39%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
TAM
1 - 1
FCP
48%
23%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FCP
0 - 3
WEL
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FCE
0 - 0
FCP
63%
20%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
LEV
3 - 2
FCP
50%
22%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |