Esiliiga round 3

Alliance FC vs FC Elva analysis

Alliance FC FC Elva
55 ELO 51
-3.5% Tilt 3.9%
26875º General ELO ranking 2614º
102º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
50.4%
Alliance FC
24.9%
Draw
24.7%
FC Elva

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
Alliance FC
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.7%
Win probability
FC Elva
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Alliance FC
FC Elva
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alliance FC
Alliance FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2019
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
1 - 0
Alliance FC
JKJ
16%
20%
64%
54 33 21 0
09 Mar. 2019
JKJ
Alliance FC
4 - 3
FC Flora Tallin II
FLO
21%
26%
53%
53 63 10 +1
03 Feb. 2019
JKP
Poseidon JK
3 - 0
Alliance FC
JKJ
7%
13%
80%
53 22 31 0
24 Nov. 2018
KEI
Keila
1 - 0
Alliance FC
JKJ
29%
23%
49%
54 47 7 -1
17 Nov. 2018
JKJ
Alliance FC
3 - 1
Keila
KEI
49%
24%
27%
53 48 5 +1

Matches

FC Elva
FC Elva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2019
FCE
FC Elva
1 - 3
Tallinna Kalev II
TKA
43%
26%
32%
52 52 0 0
07 Mar. 2019
WEL
Tartu Welco
2 - 2
FC Elva
FCE
27%
24%
49%
52 44 8 0
19 Jan. 2019
TUL
Tulevik Viljandi
2 - 1
FC Elva
FCE
46%
23%
31%
51 49 2 +1
24 Nov. 2018
KUR
Kuressaare
1 - 0
FC Elva
FCE
41%
22%
37%
52 44 8 -1
17 Nov. 2018
FCE
FC Elva
0 - 1
Kuressaare
KUR
64%
20%
17%
53 42 11 -1