Bocholter vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
78.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bocholter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KVV
1 - 1
BLA
9%
13%
79%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 3
KVV
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
KVV
0 - 2
OHL
9%
13%
78%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
KVV
2 - 2
PAT
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 57 | 47 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
KVV
2 - 7
GNK
5%
13%
82%
|
10 | 84 | 74 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
EXC
3 - 1
KRC
35%
28%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
STL
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DEI
3 - 1
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 1
DEN
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |