Juventus vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
JUV
3 - 2
PIS
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
BOL
0 - 1
JUV
20%
25%
55%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1990 |
JUV
4 - 0
AUS
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
JUV
4 - 2
INT
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
AUS
0 - 4
JUV
31%
28%
41%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
ROM
2 - 0
GEN
76%
17%
7%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
ROM
4 - 1
CES
74%
18%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1990 |
ROM
2 - 1
VCF
62%
23%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
PAR
2 - 1
ROM
23%
29%
48%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
VCF
1 - 1
ROM
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |