Champions League Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Juventus vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 2
PRG
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2003 |
RMA
2 - 1
JUV
70%
18%
13%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
LAZ
0 - 0
JUV
45%
25%
30%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 1
BRE
73%
18%
10%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
FCB
1 - 2
JUV
60%
21%
19%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
REC
0 - 0
RMA
13%
21%
66%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2003 |
RMA
2 - 1
JUV
70%
18%
13%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
RMA
1 - 5
MLL
79%
14%
8%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
SEV
1 - 3
RMA
21%
23%
56%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
MUD
4 - 3
RMA
51%
23%
26%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |