Juventus vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
COM
2 - 2
JUV
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
JUV
2 - 1
VER
79%
14%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
JUV
2 - 0
CSK
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
SSS
2 - 2
JUV
7%
18%
75%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
CSK
2 - 1
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
FIO
1 - 1
NAP
60%
23%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
ASC
1 - 0
FIO
27%
31%
42%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
FIO
3 - 0
BJK
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
BJK
0 - 3
FIO
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 1975 |
FIO
3 - 2
ACM
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |