Inter-Cities Fairs Cup . Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Juventus vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
LAZ
2 - 2
JUV
31%
31%
38%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
JUV
1 - 1
INT
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
KOL
1 - 1
JUV
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
VIC
1 - 1
JUV
31%
31%
38%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
JUV
2 - 2
VAR
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
KOL
0 - 1
HAN
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
KOL
1 - 1
JUV
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1971 |
KOL
2 - 0
HSV
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1971 |
HSV
2 - 0
KOL
41%
26%
34%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1971 |
KOL
3 - 2
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |