Juventud vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ETS
0 - 2
JUV
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 3
CER
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 2
JUV
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 3
MWA
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
PLA
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MWA
0 - 0
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 4
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
DEF
32%
27%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 2
LFC
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |