Juventud Unida vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Unida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CES
2 - 1
JUU
58%
24%
19%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
JUU
0 - 1
CBA
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
PUE
0 - 0
JUU
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
JUU
0 - 3
ARR
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAA
1 - 1
JUU
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 0
ARQ
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SBA
2 - 2
LUG
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 3
DOC
23%
29%
48%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CLA
2 - 3
LUG
61%
23%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 0
DPA
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |