Juventud Independiente vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MET
1 - 1
JUV
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
AGU
3 - 0
JUV
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 3
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FAS
1 - 0
JUV
53%
25%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
ATL
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
UES
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ONC
1 - 2
SAN
37%
29%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
FIR
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |