Juventud Independiente vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 0
JUV
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 1
CHA
40%
28%
33%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 1
FIR
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
FAS
3 - 0
JUV
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
JUV
4 - 2
BAL
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
FAS
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 0
ALI
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
MET
20%
24%
55%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
VIS
1 - 0
ALI
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALA
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |