Juvenes / Dogana vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
COS
0 - 2
JUV
25%
25%
51%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAI
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FAE
0 - 1
JUV
23%
24%
52%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
LIB
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 0
FIO
20%
21%
59%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 2
FIO
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 3
PEN
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
DOM
0 - 1
FIO
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 0
FIO
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |