Junior vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 1
BAR
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ONC
3 - 3
JUN
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
JUN
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
JUN
3 - 3
HUI
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
ENV
0 - 0
JUN
35%
29%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
ONC
0 - 1
AGU
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ONC
3 - 3
JUN
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 1
ONC
28%
24%
49%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 3
ONC
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
BUC
1 - 2
ONC
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |