Junior vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 2
JUN
24%
29%
47%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
JUN
2 - 2
PAS
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 0
PAT
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
IND
0 - 1
JUN
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 0
HUI
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 1
BUC
29%
29%
43%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 0
JAG
72%
18%
9%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 1
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ONC
4 - 0
JAG
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
JAG
45%
23%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |