Junior vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
JUN
1 - 1
UNI
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
CUC
1 - 2
JUN
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
JUN
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
JUN
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
JUN
2 - 3
SFE
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
ENV
1 - 2
AGU
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 3
CAL
42%
29%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
AGU
3 - 2
TOL
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
AGU
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |