Clausura Playoffs Four-team tournament Round 1

Junior vs Deportes Tolima analysis

Junior Deportes Tolima
81 ELO 81
-19.6% Tilt -15.1%
561º General ELO ranking 564º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
38.3%
Junior
28%
Draw
33.6%
Deportes Tolima

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
Junior
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
33.6%
Win probability
Deportes Tolima
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Junior
+1%
+7%
Deportes Tolima

ELO progression

Junior
Deportes Tolima
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Junior
Junior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2019
JUN
Junior
0 - 0
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
50%
27%
24%
81 75 6 0
25 Oct. 2019
ALI
Alianza FC
0 - 0
Junior
JUN
32%
28%
40%
81 73 8 0
20 Oct. 2019
JUN
Junior
1 - 0
Millonarios
MIL
40%
28%
32%
81 81 0 0
12 Oct. 2019
PAS
Deportivo Pasto
2 - 1
Junior
JUN
31%
29%
40%
81 75 6 0
10 Oct. 2019
JUN
Junior
3 - 0
Deportivo Cali
CAL
42%
28%
30%
81 79 2 0

Matches

Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2019
IND
Independiente Medellín
1 - 1
Deportes Tolima
TOL
52%
24%
24%
81 81 0 0
25 Oct. 2019
TOL
Deportes Tolima
2 - 1
Patriotas Boyacá
PAT
58%
25%
17%
81 72 9 0
20 Oct. 2019
TOL
Deportes Tolima
2 - 1
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
52%
26%
23%
80 75 5 +1
17 Oct. 2019
TOL
Deportes Tolima
1 - 1
Deportivo Cali
CAL
44%
27%
29%
81 79 2 -1
13 Oct. 2019
ALI
Alianza FC
0 - 1
Deportes Tolima
TOL
32%
27%
41%
80 74 6 +1