Junior vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2000 |
JUN
1 - 3
ATS
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
ATS
2 - 0
JUN
63%
20%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2000 |
UNI
0 - 1
JUN
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2000 |
SLO
2 - 0
JUN
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
JUN
2 - 0
CCP
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
BEL
1 - 4
CEN
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
CEN
1 - 0
RAC
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
NOB
0 - 0
CEN
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
CEN
2 - 0
GLP
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
CAU
3 - 0
CEN
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |