Philadelphia Lone Star vs Ocean City Nor'easters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Lone Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
WCU
2 - 2
JLS
80%
14%
6%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
LEH
4 - 5
JLS
23%
20%
57%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
JLS
0 - 0
OCE
12%
18%
70%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
JLS
5 - 1
MON
45%
21%
34%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
JLF
8 - 2
JLS
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Ocean City Nor'easters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
OCE
2 - 0
WCU
39%
24%
38%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
JLS
0 - 0
OCE
12%
18%
70%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
OCE
1 - 0
RCN
84%
12%
5%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
WCU
1 - 2
OCE
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
OCE
1 - 1
REA
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |