Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 1
MEL
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 0
AUR
52%
26%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
COM
59%
23%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SBO
1 - 2
AUR
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
LEO
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 0
TIG
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SPC
5 - 0
CIE
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
HUA
2 - 1
SPC
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
SPC
54%
24%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SPC
1 - 0
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |