Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 1
AUR
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 1
AUR
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
MEL
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SPC
3 - 0
AUR
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
COM
2 - 2
AUR
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 2
BOC
58%
25%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
GAR
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
SPC
0 - 2
MUN
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
MUN
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 1
VAL
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |