Juan Aurich Chiclayo vs Los Caimanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
SPC
4 - 1
AUR
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
CIE
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
HUA
0 - 1
AUR
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
ALI
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 0
AUR
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Los Caimanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LOS
4 - 1
SAM
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 0
LOS
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 0
AYA
46%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
LOS
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 3
MEL
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |